Peer-reviewed articles

(*denotes graduate student lead author)

  1. Cai, W., L. Wu, M. Lengaigne, T. Li, S. McGregor, J.-S. Kug, J.-Y. Yu, M. F. Stuecker, A. Santoso, X. Li, Y.-G. Ham, Y. Chikamoto, B. Ng, M. J. McPhaden, Y. Du, D. Dommenget, F. Jia, J. B. Kajtar, N. Keenlyside, X. Lin, J.-J. Luo, M. Martín-Rey, Y. Ruprich-Robert, G. Wang, S.-P. Xie, Y. Yang, S. M. Kang, J-Y. Choi, B. Gan, G.-I. Kim, C.-E. Kim, S. Kim, J.-H. Kim, and P. Chang (2019): Pan-tropical climate interactions, Science, In Press (served as coordinating lead author)
  2. Stuecker, M. F., C. M. Bitz, K. C. Armour, C. Proistosescu, S. M. Kang, S.-P. Xie, D. Kim, S. McGregor, W. Zhang, S. Zhao, W. Cai, Y. Dong, and F.-F. Jin (2018): Polar amplification dominated by local forcing and feedbacks, Nature Climate Change, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0339-y

           Link to the original article
           Link to a Nature Climate Change News & Views article about the research by Patrick Taylor
           Link to the press release

  1. Timmermann, A., S.-I. An, J.-S. Kug, F.-F. Jin, W. Cai, A. Capotondi, K. Cobb, M. Lengaigne, M. J. McPhaden, M. F. Stuecker, K. Stein, A. Wittenberg, K.-S. Yun, T. Bayr, H.-C. Chen, Y. Chikamoto, B. Dewitte, D. Dommenget, P. Grothe, E. Guilyardi, Y.-G. Ham, M. Hayashi, S. Ineson, D. Kang, S. Kim, W. M. Kim, J.-Y. Lee, T. Li, J.-J. Luo, S. McGregor, Y. Planton, S. Power, H. Rashid, H.-L. Ren, A. Santoso, K. Takahashi, A. Todd, G. Wang, G. Wang, R. Xie, W.-H. Yang, S.-W. Yeh, J. Yoon, E. Zeller, and X. Zhang (2018): El Niño-Southern Oscillation Complexity, Nature, 559, 535-545 (served as coordinating lead author)

  1. Stuecker, M. F., M. Tigchelaar, and M. B. Kantar (2018): Climate variability impacts on rice production in the Philippines, PLoS ONE, 13(8), e0201426, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0201426
  2. McGregor, S., M. F. Stuecker, J. B. Kajtar, M. H. England, and M. Collins (2018): Model Tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability, Nature Climate Change, 8, 493–498, doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0163-4
  3. Proistosescu, C., A. Donohoe, K. C. Armour, G. H. Roe, M. F. Stuecker, and C. M. Bitz (2018): Radiative feedbacks from stochastic variability in surface temperature and radiative imbalance, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2018GL077678

    AGU Research Spotlight:


  1. Zhang, W., Z. Wang, M. F. Stuecker, A. G. Turner, F.-F. Jin, and X. Geng (2018): Impact of ENSO longitudinal position on teleconnections to the NAO, Clim Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4135-1
  2. Stuecker, M. F. (2018): Revisiting the Pacific Meridional Mode, Scientific Reports, 8:3216, doi:10.1038/s41598-018-21537-0
  3. *Park, K., S. M. Kang, D. Kim, M. F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin (2018): Contrasting local and remote effects of surface heating on polar warming and amplification, J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0600.1
  4. *Geng, X., W. Zhang, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker (2018): A new method for interpreting nonstationary running correlations and its application to the ENSO-EAWM relationship, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 327-334, doi:10.1002/2017GL076564
  5. Kang, S. M., K. Park, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker (2017), Common warming pattern emerges irrespective of forcing location, J Adv Model Earth Sy, 9, 2413-2424, doi:10.1002/2017MS001083
  6. Stuecker, M. F., C. M. Bitz, and K. C. Armour (2017), Conditions leading to the unprecedented low Antarctic sea ice extent during the 2016 austral spring season, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1002/2017GL074691

                More information in the UW Press Release
                Featured for instance on the AGU Blogosphere, Seattle national public radio station KUOW and The Australian
                Additional press coverage can be found here
  1. *Geng, X., W. Zhang, M. F. Stuecker, and F.-F. Jin (2017), Strong sub-seasonal wintertime cooling over East Asia and Northern Europe associated with super El Niño events, Scientific Reports, 7:3770, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-03977-2
  2. Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin, Y. Chikamoto, W. Zhang, A. T. Wittenberg, E. Widiasih, and S. Zhao (2017), Revisiting ENSO/Indian Ocean Dipole phase relationships, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, doi:10.1002/2016GL072308
  3. Levine, A. F. Z., F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker (2017), A simple approach to quantifying the noise-ENSO interaction. Part II: The role of coupling between the warm Pool and equatorial zonal wind anomalies, Clim Dyn, 48, 19-37, doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3268-3
  4. *Geng, X., W. Zhang, M. F. Stuecker, P. Liu, F.-F. Jin, and G. Tan (2016), Decadal modulation of the ENSO-East Asian winter monsoon relationship by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Clim Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-016- 3465-0
  5. Zhang, W., F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, A. T. Wittenberg, A. Timmermann, H.-L. Ren, J.-S. Kug, W. Cai, and M. Cane (2016), Unraveling El Niño's Impact on the East Asian Monsoon and Yangtze River Summer Flooding, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 11,375–11,382, doi:10.1002/2016GL071190
  6. Stuecker, M. F., F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, and S. McGregor (2016), Reply to "Comments on 'Combination Mode Dynamics of the Anomalous Northwest Pacific Anticyclone'", J. Climate, 29, 4695-4706, doi:
  7. Zhang, W., H. Li, M. F. Stuecker, F.-F. Jin, and A. G. Turner (2016), A New Understanding of El Niño's Impact over East Asia: Dominance of the ENSO Combination Mode, J. Climate, 29, 4347-4359, doi:
  8. Stuecker, M. F., F.-F. Jin, and A. Timmermann (2015), El Niño-Southern Oscillation frequency cascade, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112, 13490-13495, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1508622112
(El Nino) September 2015 El Niño conditions: Sea surface temperature anomalies [in °Celsius] from NOAA’s Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) dataset

15_10_Stuecker_AtmVariability 15_10_Stuecker_AtmVariability
  1. Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, J. Yoon, and F.-F. Jin (2015), Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) indistinguishable from white noise, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 7785-7791, doi: 10.1002/2015GL065878
  2. Zhang, W., Y. Wang, F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, and A. G. Turner (2015), Impact of different El Niño types on the El Niño/IOD relationship, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1002/2015GL065703
  3. Ren, H.-L., J. Zuo, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker (2015), ENSO and annual cycle interaction: the combination mode representation in CMIP5 models, Clim Dyn, DOI 10.1007/s00382-015-2802-z
  4. Zhang, W., H. Li, F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, A. G. Turner, N. P. Klingaman (2015), The Annual-Cycle Modulation of Meridional Asymmetry in ENSO's Atmospheric Response and Its Dependence on ENSO Zonal Structure, J. Climate, doi:
  5. Stuecker, M. F., F.-F. Jin, A. Timmermann, S. McGregor (2015), Combination Mode Dynamics of the Anomalous Northwest Pacific Anticyclone, J. Climate, doi:
  6. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, M. F. Stuecker, M. H. England, M. Merrifield, F.-F. Jin, and Y. Chikamoto (2014), Recent Walker circulation strengthening and Pacific cooling amplified by Atlantic warming, Nature Climate Change, DOI:10.1038/nclimate2330

In the news: EurekAlert, Sydney Morning Herald, Motherboard, Ars Technica, RedOrbit, PhysOrg, The Earth Times, Nature World News, SpaceDaily
(waves) This image depicts waves crashing over a roadway in Temwaiku, Kiribati. Credit: Annika Dean

  1. Stein, K., A. Timmermann, N. Schneider, F.-F. Jin, and M. F. Stuecker (2014), ENSO seasonal synchronization theory, J. Climate, doi:
  2. Widlansky, M., A. Timmermann, S. McGregor, M. F. Stuecker, and W. Cai (2014), An interhemispheric tropical sea level seesaw due to El Niño Taimasa, J. Climate, 27, 1070-1081, doi:
This shows flat-top Porites coral on a shallow reef near American Samoa. Coral heads are fully submerged under normal conditions. During El Niño Taimasa, tops of large flat coral on the reef are exposed to air at low tide. Credit: Image courtesy of the National Park of American Samoa
  1. Ren, H.-L., F.-F. Jin, M. F. Stuecker, and R. Xie (2013), ENSO Regime Change since the Late 1970s as Manifested by Two Types of ENSO, Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 91, 835-842, doi:
  2. Stuecker, M. F., A. Timmermann, F.-F. Jin, S. McGregor, and H.-L. Ren (2013), A combination mode of the annual cycle and the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, Nature Geoscience, 6, 540-544, DOI:10.1038/ngeo1826

      • In the news: IPRC Press Release, EurekAlert, PhysOrg, ScienceDaily, RedOrbit, Star Advertiser (Honolulu), Civil Beat Honolulu, Radio New Zealand, Nature World News, Yahoo News, ANI News, AGI (Italy), Corrierre (Italy), MeteoWeb (Italy), Cuatro (Spain), El Economista (Spain), Europa Press (Spain), La Informacion (Spain), La Razon (Spain), TopNews (Arab Emirates), ZeeNews (India), Innovations Report (Germany), Summit Voice (Colorado, USA), El Universal (Mexico), La Nacion (Costa Rica), Ecoticias (Spain)...
(Combination mode)
  1. McGregor, S., A. Timmermann, N. Schneider, M. F. Stuecker, and M. H. England (2012), The effect of the South Pacific Convergence Zone on the termination of El Niño events and the meridional asymmetry of ENSO, J. Climate, 25, 5566-5586, doi:
  2. Stuecker, M. F. and R. E. Zeebe (2010), Ocean chemistry and atmospheric CO2 sensitivity to carbon perturbations throughout the Cenozoic, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L03609, doi:10.1029/2009GL041436