Selected Research

Forecast Reports and Other Applied Research

UHERO Forecast Reports

“Economy,” (with Kimberly Burnett, Sang-Hyop Lee and James Roumasset) in Hawaii 2050: Building a Shared Future, Hawaii 2050 Sustainability Task Force, 2007.

The Effect on Hawaii's Economy of the September 11 Terror Attacks, (with Carl Bonham), University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization report to the DBEDT, November, 2001.

Selected Academic Publications and Working Papers

China and the Future of Asian Electronics Trade, (with Ari Van Assche), in Linda Yueh, ed., The Future of Asian Trade and Growth: Economic Development with the Emergence of China, RoutledgeCurzon, forthcoming.

Electronics Production Upgrading: Is China Exceptional? (with Ari Van Assche), Applied Economics Letters, forthcoming.

Modeling Tourism: A Fully Identified VECM Approach (with Allison Zhou and Carl Bonham), International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 25, 2009, pp. 531-549.

Is Foreign Direct Investment Good for Growth? Evidence from Sectoral Analysis of China and Vietnam (with Tam Bang Vu and Ilan Noy), Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Vol. 13 No. 4, 2008, pp. 542-562.

Have U.S.-Japan Trade Agreements Made a Difference?  (with Craig Parsons), Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Vol. 12, No. 4, November 2007, pp. 548–566.

Fragmentation and East Asia’s Information Technology Trade (with Carl Bonham  and Ari Van Assche), Applied Economics, Vol. 39, No. 2, February 2007, pp. 215 - 228.

Why Is China So Competitive? Measuring and Explaining Chinese Competitiveness (with F. Gerard Adams and Yochanan Shachmurove), The World Economy Vol. 29, No. 2, 2006, pp. 95-248.

Japan’s New Economy: Continuity and Change in the 21st Century (with Magnus Blomström and Sumner La Croix), edited volume, Oxford University Press, 2001.

The Asian Crisis: Toward Recovery and Reform, Report on a United Nations Expert Group Meeting, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, New York, May 1998.


Current Research

The global downturn, international transmission, and policy responses.

Modular production networks in information technology industries.

Relative prices and Japanese trade: evidence from disaggregated data.


Selected Grants and Contracts

Kauai County, 2002-2009 (with Carl Bonham): "Kauai Databook and Forecast Reports."

State of Hawaii, HIPA, UH Public Policy Center, 2006-2007: "Hawaii 2050 Project."

Singapore Management University Wharton-SMU Research Center: “Modular Production Networks in IT: The Nexus Between Management and Economics Research,” Spring 2004.

New Economy Research Grant, University of Hawaii: “Modeling Information Technology: US-Asian Linkages,” 2001-2002; seed money.

Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden, 1997-99 (with Sumner La Croix and Magnus Blomstrom): "Japan’s Economy in the Twenty-First Century: The Response to Crisis," workshop, conference and book project..

State of Hawaii Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism, 2001 (with Carl Bonham): “The Effect on Hawaii’s Economy of the September 11 Terror Attacks.”

Hawaiian Electric Company, 1999-2009 (with Carl Bonham, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization): Long term economic forecasts for the State of Hawaii and the four counties.

Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI), Japan, 1994-96 (with F.G. Adams and S. Shishido): Development of an industrially-linked macroeconometric model of the US-Japan-world economy; simulation analysis of current trade and macro policy issues.